UPDATE: PCs take poll seriously, Kennedy says

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CRA poll shows major drop for Dunderdale

Newfoundland Finance Minister Jerome Kennedy spoke to reporters this afternoon and said that his party is taking the latest Corporate Research Associates (CRA) poll numbers seriously.

The government of premier Kathy Dunderdale is in deep, deep trouble according to new polling data released today by the Halifax-based polling firm.

The PC Party is polling in third place behind both the Liberals and the NDP, and Dunderdale is people’s last choice for premier.

The latest poll marks a drop of more than 10 percentage points for Dunderdale’s party in the past three months.

According to CRA, the Tories can count on 27 per cent of public support, compared to 37 per cent for the NDP and 36 per cent for the Liberals. With a margin of error of 4.9 per cent, that puts the two opposition parties in a statistical dead heat.

Government satisfaction has also taken a hit. Sixty-three per cent of people are either partially or totally dissatisfied with the government’s performance, compared with 32 per cent who say they’re somewhat or totally satisfied.

Dunderdale’s government has been on a steady slide in the CRA’s quarterly tracking polls for more than a year. Last May, their support was nearly double what it is now. However, in the past three months, the NDP took a bit of a hit too. In February, they had 39 per cent of public support, but they dropped two points in the past three months.

That means that the Liberals have most of the political momentum at the moment; their party jumped from 22 per cent support to 36 per cent.

Kennedy said he believes that the government made the right decisions on Muskrat Falls and the budget this spring, but he said the government needs to listen to the electorate and communicate better.

New Democrat Leader Lorraine Michael said she's happy with what she's seeing, even if her party's numbers didn't go up this quarter, because they're still the most popular option for voters.

Organizations: Corporate Research Associates

Geographic location: Newfoundland

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Recent comments

  • Tim Jamison
    June 10, 2013 - 21:51

    I don't really put much faith in polls anymore. According to some polls I've seen, Harper was supposed to have been exited from power in 2011 and Adrian Dix is supposed to be running BC. Everything has a political bent these days, polls included, and this has caused polls to be wrong more often than not. They're usually doctored to alter people's decision making processes, but that's obviously a flawed, desperate tactic, isn't it?

  • EDfromRED
    June 10, 2013 - 20:33

    The PC's have not taken all the previous poll's they have plunged seriously, why start now? They must have some plum Nalcor positions promised to them to screw over the rest of us to tirelessly pursue this boondoggle. Too bad not one iota of this same determination was used to find answers in the death of Burton Winters. I'm guessing if he was the white child of a millionaire there would be reports by the dozen done.

  • Anthony young
    June 10, 2013 - 18:36

    The people of whitbourne and surrounding areas have been lobbying this government about the viability of our local school. Our efforts so far have fallen on deaf ears. The end of the school year is approaching. Students, teachers and employees still don't know if the school will stay open or closed. The vote is July 10, 2013. Check out. Www.helpwhitbourne.com and judge for yourself if this school review process is flawed. Read about how this PC government listens to its people.....they don't.

  • Dianne
    June 10, 2013 - 18:21

    People if Ms Dunderdale step down tomorrow...Who would we put into her place? I guess evryone would get on Tom Marshall band wagon...Remember he was our former FINANCE MINISTER...He did a wonderful job there for the people..lol.. Liberal party haven't got any leadership...Some guy on talk back today...Asking for Dean Macdonald to run for the leadership of the liberal party...And when Mr Williams put out a CHALLENGE to Dean...He wouldn't pick it up...That the kind of fighter we need for the people... NDP...will only put our province in the hole... Tell me who do we HAVE?

  • GettingWiser
    June 10, 2013 - 18:11

    Great! Stand by the budget you say, why not, you didn't lose your job. YET! Oh but you will because there's no way to come back from this. This government has been working against the very people who voted them in. We won't forget. What are your "pull a rabbit out of a hat" plans for before the next election anyway?

  • Brian
    June 10, 2013 - 17:50

    Dunderdale, Kennedy , Kent , Lane ,Shea and ALL the rest should be sent packing.They don't deserve the vote of the people . This government and the previous Williams government have shown a complete lack of respect for the people . I don't see much in the N.D.P or the Liberals but a vote for the P.C.'s is an indication that we agree with their tactics and policies . Send them packing . Dunderdale won't last the year . There are elections in the fall and maybe she will run for council in Burin . You Betcha !!

  • tom
    June 10, 2013 - 17:17

    Will be interested to see who challenges Ball for leader of the Liberal party as now. I think if it is a strong candidate then the Liberal numbers will go up higher. I like Michaels but as an opposition leader, not premier. Dunderdale third would be nice. You would see the chickens toss their hats in the ring this time I bet.

  • Kevin
    June 10, 2013 - 16:02

    I said it before and I will say it till I die..................that stupid governemnt is horible with NO ONE doing us any good and Muskrat Falls will sink this province beyond recovery......WE ARE DONE.....WE WILL BE A HAVE NOT PROVINCE ONCE AGAIN........Thanks Kathy u moron............................

  • Maggy Carter
    June 10, 2013 - 15:46

    To Ms. Dunderdale, Mr. Kennedy and the entire PC government. This is not, as doubtless you want to believe, simply a failure to communicate. The decisions and the actions of your administration over the past two years are proof of the dictum that 'power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely'. Bill 29 was designed to grease the skids for projects and strategies that your government knew could never withstand informed public scrutiny. Your repeated dismissal of questions and criticisms, and your vicious attack on the character of those who would dare voice them, demonstrated an arrogance - even meanness - that has no place in a modern democracy. You so abused the public trust that you have now lost it, and there is little that you might ever do now to regain it. Others have underscored the inevitable - that your government will not survive beyond the next election. The only uncertainty at this point is the size of your defeat. However large that might be, and however deserved it might be, it will do little unfortunately to rectify the mistakes your government has made - some of which could come to haunt the people of this province for generations to come.

  • Tough Times for Tories
    June 10, 2013 - 15:40

    Its about time the people finally woke up. We don't support political parties like people support hockey teams or because they are a woman. We need to select them because they will do the best job handling the province and our MONEY. WE are in deficits now IE Muskratfalls. And I can't wait to hear the next new government talk about the mess they have inherited. I want to hear what MHA's Paul Lane and Steve Kent have to say on this issue. I haven't had a good laugh since the last time I heard them speak publicly. Look out for the fire trucks now.

  • Ellsworthj
    June 10, 2013 - 15:35

    Time to Cancel Muskrat Falls And Come Clean with all the facts

  • Cyril Rogers
    June 10, 2013 - 15:30

    Bill 29, cuts to the public service, conflicting and confused statements from the Premier....all of these have led to the loss of support for the PC government. Sadly, it seems that the issue that stands to have the biggest negative impact long-term, in the form of Muskrat Falls, still has not resonated with the voters, by and large. Those who are calling for the demise of the PC government need to understand that their legacy project, Muskrat Falls.....will be the most bitter pill of all! The unfortunate reality is that we will be stuck with it, by 2015, so what happens to the PC's is of little real consequence. If only there were way to pull the plug and cancel this fiscal nightmare, we would be so much better off, but they intend to foist it upon us and future generations for nefarious reasons, as Maurice Adams so ably points out. Therein lies a great future tragedy!

  • hua mulan
    June 10, 2013 - 15:26

    jfk 'said the government needs to listen to the electorate and communicate better'. ubetcha

  • DOB
    June 10, 2013 - 14:23

    The first government to get rid of Bill 29 will get my vote..............I want to know I can trust the people I pvote into office!!!!!!!!!!!!

    • Gerry
      June 10, 2013 - 19:26

      Should we give Muskrat to Quebec who will be a foreign country within 15 years?

  • Maurice E. Adams
    June 10, 2013 - 14:09

    The people are not stunned. It just takes a little time to see through the Muskrat Falls gobbledygook and see that 1) MF is not needed, 2) it is not affordable, and 3) it is too high a risk................. On top of that they see that Muskrat Falls is driven by "old time" thinking, a time when large hydro with long extension cords made sense ------ NO MORE. ... the paradigm has shifted to efficiency, multiple/ distributed energy sources PERIOD....... High cost Muskrat power ONLY BENEFITS "Nalcor" and "Government"................ It doubles and triples the value of Nalcor's on the ground infrastructure -- which is what the PUB uses to set rates (the higher the value of the infrastructure the higher the rates --------- all at the ratepayers cost/expense. Muskrat Falls is NOT in the ratepayers best interest ---- PERIOD.

  • Eli
    June 10, 2013 - 13:52

    Kennedy taking the poll seriously? Well, whoop-de-friggin'-do! He has as much credibility as a sidewalk bum, who cares at this point what he's thinking. I retract that, thinking takes a brain and Kennedy is lacking one of those.

    • just Wondering
      June 10, 2013 - 14:59

      A sidewalk bum??? How is your credibility any better you puffed up snob.

  • Jean
    June 10, 2013 - 13:45

    I guess the PC's will be happy to be in long enough to get the big pension...early retirement with all the perks...IMO, they couldn't care less...

  • Political Watcher
    June 10, 2013 - 13:42

    If the took the polls seriously then the Premier herself would and should be out talking to the media, not Kennedy. I was waiting for the usual condesending tone and TSK; "there's no story here". Well, there is a story here and a sad story for the Tories. Can anyone guess what curent member is on the phone to Justin Trudeau's office? Let me give you a hint; they want to go back to being red.

  • justin
    June 10, 2013 - 13:23

    Tuesday/October 15th/ 2015 JUSTICE will be served. BY- BY P.C Government.

    • justin
      June 10, 2013 - 13:42

      Tuesday/October 13th 2015 The next Provincial Election. The PC's like to cut. Well on that day THE POPELE will do some cutting of there owe.

  • David Wilson
    June 10, 2013 - 13:07

    Naaa naaa na na naaaa naaaa hey hey hey good-bye Naaa naaa na na naaaa naaaa hey hey hey good-bye Never to early for that!!!!!

  • Torey Nomore
    June 10, 2013 - 12:57

    After all the lies, deceit, cover-ups, and blunders, I cannot vote Tory no more.

  • drew
    June 10, 2013 - 12:43

    If you think the polls are bad now for the PC's, just wait until they start serious negotiations with NAPE, CUPE, nurses and teachers..........they better have some serious tricks up their sleeves or its bye bye.

    • Bert
      June 10, 2013 - 16:31

      The only saving grace the P.C. govt. has is to be tough on the unions! These unions feel that they are entitled to the big dollars and to hell with the people who aren't a part of these unions. Imagine asking people to boycott Labatt's and they write all the names of replacement workers on signs, calling them scabs. Another union going to people's homes and picketing. won't get a lot of support from the public with these acts, so clean it up!!!

  • John Smith
    June 10, 2013 - 11:47

    What is funny is how people can make up their mind about who to support without any indication of the policies, or vision of that party. The Liberals and the NDP have yet to come out with one idea, or policy that would tell us what they plan to do to make out lot here better...yet people think that they should support these parties? The liberals, who are leaderless, and a million dollars in debt? Really? maybe these opposition parties do have all the answers...I don't know. But we will never know untill they tell us what their plan is...until now, I have heard nothing but whining and complaining. It's so easy to govern when all you have to do is point fingers, and make baseless accusations....God help us all if the NDP or Liberals ever take over in this province....we will all suffer greatly for it...

    • W McLean
      June 10, 2013 - 12:19

      Didn't they do just that in the lead-up to the 2003 election?

    • Corporate Psycho
      June 10, 2013 - 18:36

      Pretty soon Justin will take over Canada and the Liberals here will be sitting pretty.

  • hslaw
    June 10, 2013 - 11:39

    I really can't see me voting PC again Although we have terry french in as our MHA .I can't see me supporting hm as an individual. Sorry Terry bye bye Kathy has done laid you off

  • Danny Dummy Will Run For Sure Now
    June 10, 2013 - 11:38

    What other Liberals will take a second look at the Liberal leadership with numbers like these?

  • Tony Rockel
    June 10, 2013 - 11:16

    The PCs need to cancel Muskrat Fall if they want to retain any credibility.

  • observer
    June 10, 2013 - 11:14

    It is not just the Premier - her whole Cabinet is unpopular. This government went full ahead with Muskrat Falls using our tax dollars - without our consent. Time to call an election.

    • John Smith
      June 10, 2013 - 13:04

      The current PC government ran with Muskrat Falls as the centerpiece of their platform during the last election, and won by an overwhelming majority...we have had 4 polls in a row that show the majority of people in NL support the project...so what you are saying is patently false...

    • JM
      June 10, 2013 - 15:58

      John Smith is incorrect. The truth about Muskrat Falls was not clear during the 2011 election. It was not clear that on a stand alone basis the people of the province would be paying 23 cents per kw/hr for Muskrat Falls Power. It was not clear that the people of the province would be paying 100% for the project. It was not clear that export revenues would not be used to lower rates to islanders. It was not clear that the project costs would be 35% higher prior to sanction. It was not clear that the WMA would make the entire assumption of 900 MW at our disposal over the Labrador Link very much in doubt (it depends on HQ to not require the power). It was not clear that with Muskrat Falls, and the Maritime Link there would be shortages in supply around 2035. It was not clear that we would be subisdizing Nova Scotians. It was not clear that we would be subisiding Labrador Mining. It was not clear that for any power exports into the US that we would be paying Emera an additional fee to transmit power over their NS and NB grid. It was not clear that in the event the LIL goes down, NL would be short of energy to meet the 167 MW that we must provide Emera. It was not clear that Bill 61 would likely preclude additional energy sales into the United States due to FERC reciprocity Bill 888. It was not clear that of the 2000 GWhr of energy originally used on the island (40%) will be partially used for Vale, at an industrial rate, thus increasing the incremental cost to island consumers. It was not clear that due to the DSCR in the federal loan garuntee that it will be 10 years after production before Nalcor will see any real returns from the project. It was not clear (and is still not clear) when the Province of Newfoundland will ever get their 1.5 Billion in equity investment back. It is not clear what the rate of return will be to taxpayers on this equity investment. It was not clear that vast amounts of engineering would be done in Quebec on the project. John.... there were many things that were not clear during the 2011 election. The 2011 election was not a real mandate for Muskrat Falls. Anyone who has taken a serious objective view of this project would have real questions which remain unanswered. The biggest one is that it is still unclear if Nalcor will expect the people of Newfoundland to foot the construction of the Maritime Link, if the UARB does not approve it.

  • Don
    June 10, 2013 - 10:51

    If the PC's want a chance to win the next election, Kathy has to go and go NOW.

  • original townie
    June 10, 2013 - 10:48

    If Kathy was interested in putting her party ahead of herself (and she should) the wise thing would be to step down. Surely she must realize she will sink this ship if she stays on. Numbers don't lie even though she will try to skate around them as usual. Replacing her with a leader the public respects (and I don't have any idea who this might be) is key to the Tories winning the next election in 2015. Between now and then there is enough time to rebuild, considering the alternative.....Michael or Ball. If either of these two get in, the ride will be much worse than we have experienced over the last few years.

  • saelcove
    June 10, 2013 - 10:47

    She needs Williams to teach her how to be a good public speaker, She do not use the word Newfoundlander,s enough

  • F. Edup
    June 10, 2013 - 10:45

    Is it no surprise? 1100 government jobs cut to pay out 90 million to Krueger, Nalcor with a blank cheque to pay their employees double the salaries that equivalent workers within the public service get. Her days are numbered, no doubt.

  • Bert
    June 10, 2013 - 10:45

    Absolutely no one to blame but themselves! If they just didn't shoot themselves with every turn they would not be in this situation. Bill 29 was the start of their arrogance and downhill from there. I for one will remember and will not be voting P.C. after years and years of support.