A byelection bump in the road?

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The byelection result in Carbonear-Harbour Grace on Nov. 26 is one that will be debated for a long time to come. Does this result spell the end of a decade-plus of Tory rule in this province, or is this a bump in the road that every party faces during their time in office?

A lot of people will tell you it’s the former, that the Progressive Conservatives are approaching their expiry date, that the Liberals are on the upswing here in the province and this victory proves it.

Me, I think it’s the latter. I think what people are not realizing is that this is not a breakthrough for the Liberals by any stretch. This seat was theirs for years. They won the seat during the PC landslide of 2003 by a decent margin, and in former premier Brian Peckford’s first election of 1979, they won the old Carbonear seat by a comfortable margin and came close to winning the old Harbour Grace seat as well. Add the fact that the Liberal candidate there, in Sam Slade, was a popular mayor in that town, and you can see why this had Liberal victory marked all over it.

Still, what this byelection result proves is that the PCs have to take a look at what they’re doing and how they can get their message across better to the people of the province.

The Liberals, while having every right to be happy they won the seat, have to realize that, until they can win the true swing seats back, like Trinity-Bay De Verde, Burin Placentia West, Terra Nova, Humber West or Conception Bay East-Bell Island — or if they can do like the PCs did and steal a traditional PC seat like Baie Verte Springdale, Bonavista South, Cape St. Francis, Kilbride or Ferryland the way the PCs won Bonavista North or The Straits-White Bay North in the leadup to the 2003 general election — then this byelection win was all for naught. People forget that the PCs won St. John’s West in a 1997 byelection and in the election two years later didn't win back government.

In closing, yes, the polls don’t look good for the PCs right now, but there’s still two years to go, and what happened in the byelection in Carbonear-

Harbour Grace shouldn’t be indicative of what happens in the 2015 general election.

 

Tony Ducey

Frenchman’s Cove

Organizations: Progressive Conservatives

Geographic location: Carbonear, Terra Nova, Humber West Bonavista South Ferryland Bonavista North

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Recent comments

  • Corporate Psycho
    December 10, 2013 - 21:05

    Kathy is finished Tony.

  • Tony Rockel
    December 09, 2013 - 12:10

    Come election day, this "bump in the road" will have become a giant sink-hole, big enough to swallow the entire Dunderdale cabinet.

  • Virginia Waters
    December 09, 2013 - 11:51

    Yes Tony - you and the other handful of party faithful can keep whistling past the graveyard. The rest of us - and that includes a great many long time Tory supporters - will wait patiently until 2015 to tell Ms. Dunderdale what we really think about her and her secretive, arrogant government. That is, of course, unless she does the honourable thing and resigns before then, in which case we can have our say a bit earlier on what is left of her government. There is speculation that Harper is about to throw in the towel. Wouldn't it be nice if Cathy and Steve danced off stage in tandem before the hook comes out.

    • Tony Rockel
      December 09, 2013 - 12:18

      Well said!! What a treat it would be to see the backs of both of them--- the King and Queen of mean!

  • Rod Lyver
    December 09, 2013 - 11:12

    Looks like some hit their head when they hit the bump in the road.

  • Only 22 more months
    December 09, 2013 - 07:04

    None are as blind as those that refuse to see...

  • Ken Collis
    December 09, 2013 - 07:03

    "Still, what this byelection result proves is that the PCs have to take a look at what they’re doing and how they can get their message across better to the people of the province." The PC's have been preaching all year about how the message just isn't understood. They are saying that all us poor, misinformed, uneducated hillbillies aren't quite switched on enough to understand the complex decisions made on our behalf. There is no way in the world the loss of popularity could be because the people feel that those decisions don't help us. I ask again, How much will my power bill be??????