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I love to forecast the weather, but I don’t like to predict the weather for an entire season for all of Atlantic Canada. I’ve been down this road before so I won’t bore you with my reasons; suffice it to say, being surrounded by water and covering such a large area make it almost impossible.
Of course, last month I was asked for my long-range forecast for the summer. In a nutshell, I said it was going to be warmer than normal. We are now less than two weeks into astronomical summer and people are wondering what went wrong? Nothing, yet.
I believe we are still on track for a warm summer. We have some catching up to do; as I’m sure you’re quite aware, June was not warm.
Who knew? Grandma did. One of Grandma’s favourite weather expressions was “le trois fait le mois.” Roughly translated it means the kind of weather you get on the third day of the month is an indication of the kind of month it’s going to be.
June 3 was overcast and rainy in all four Atlantic Canadian province and so too was the month:
Temperatures were anywhere from 0.5 to 1.3 degrees below normal from Edmundston, N.B., to Gander, N.L.
Cape Breton recorded the greatest departure from the average daytime temperature, coming in 1.3 degrees below normal.
All Atlantic Canadians experienced a wetter than normal June…
Nova Scotia’s totals were consistently higher than anywhere else, with double the monthly rainfall in parts of southwest Nova and Cape Breton Island:
- Port Maitland: 206 mm; Baddeck Forks: 205 mm – average rainfall is 95 mm.
Let’s move ahead … yesterday was the July 3! Time will tell if the rest of the month will be as pleasant. But it doesn’t end there. According to Grandma, the weather expression or “dicton” continues to say: “le cinq le defait et le 7 le remet”
So yesterdays’ prognostication can be undone by the weather on July 5 – tomorrow – and reset by the weather conditions on July 7 , Sunday.
There is very little if any science to support this one, but it’s fun to observe and always made for very interesting conversations back on the farm.
P.S.: Over the last five years, it’s been correct nine of the 12 months each year. So far, it’s been right on the money five of the six first months of 2019. Go figure!
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Cindy Day is the chief meteorologist for SaltWire Network.